---
title: "Semmes, AL — Housing Forecast"
geography:
  type: municipality
  geoid: "0169240"
  name: "Semmes, AL"
  state_abbreviation: "AL"
  state_name: "Alabama"
url: "https://app.communityscale.io/dashboard/municipality/0169240/Semmes-AL"
last_updated: "2026-05-02"
cards:
  - population_forecast
  - household_growth
  - housing_characteristics
  - housing_stock_by_tenure
  - housing_supply
---

# Semmes, AL — Housing Forecast

## Population by Age Group in Semmes, AL

Population change and 5-year outlook (% change between 2020 and 2026).

Population growth patterns reveal how communities are evolving. This chart shows historical population changes by age group and projects future trends based on demographic patterns.

| year | 0-19 | 20-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 1188 | 927 | 639 | 512 | 545 |
| 2013 | 1147 | 903 | 471 | 496 | 513 |
| 2014 | 987 | 806 | 453 | 391 | 422 |
| 2015 | 1186 | 819 | 510 | 522 | 546 |
| 2016 | 1005 | 853 | 590 | 686 | 652 |
| 2017 | 944 | 912 | 737 | 995 | 966 |
| 2018 | 751 | 991 | 912 | 1121 | 1094 |
| 2019 | 1086 | 674 | 876 | 1215 | 1433 |
| 2020 | 913 | 406 | 1201 | 1203 | 2057 |
| 2021 | 911 | 409 | 990 | 1084 | 1575 |
| 2022 | 1052 | 701 | 1151 | 938 | 1281 |
| 2023 | 967 | 735 | 1364 | 849 | 1489 |
| 2024 | 1036 | 842 | 1451 | 927 | 1370 |
| 2025 | 1056 | 852 | 1578 | 924 | 1335 |
| 2026 | 1072 | 853 | 1755 | 907 | 1307 |
| 2027 | 1090 | 853 | 1939 | 884 | 1285 |
| 2028 | 1104 | 855 | 2086 | 862 | 1272 |
| 2029 | 1114 | 865 | 2153 | 851 | 1267 |
| 2030 | 1123 | 891 | 2177 | 865 | 1271 |
| 2031 | 1133 | 933 | 2217 | 906 | 1282 |

Methodology: https://docs.communityscale.io/docs/population-forecast

## Household growth by income group in Semmes, AL

Semmes, AL has been growing by 80 households per year since 2012. Percent change between 2020 and 2026. Inflation-adjusted income groups based on the 2025 HUD area median income of $82K.

Understanding how households at different income levels are growing or declining helps identify which groups face the greatest housing pressure and where new housing is most needed.

| year | <30% | 30-60% | 60-80% | 80-100% | 100-120% | >120% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 271 | 228 | 282 | 151 | 115 | 284 |
| 2013 | 237 | 278 | 280 | 130 | 82 | 203 |
| 2014 | 224 | 239 | 241 | 93 | 82 | 150 |
| 2015 | 257 | 231 | 213 | 168 | 109 | 263 |
| 2016 | 229 | 242 | 227 | 254 | 122 | 328 |
| 2017 | 196 | 308 | 334 | 313 | 154 | 430 |
| 2018 | 322 | 258 | 461 | 311 | 162 | 469 |
| 2019 | 490 | 298 | 462 | 351 | 153 | 489 |
| 2020 | 655 | 258 | 502 | 439 | 184 | 602 |
| 2021 | 455 | 283 | 461 | 268 | 121 | 616 |
| 2022 | 486 | 266 | 247 | 384 | 115 | 712 |
| 2023 | 411 | 360 | 231 | 245 | 192 | 899 |
| 2024 | 465 | 347 | 254 | 268 | 157 | 796 |
| 2025 | 470 | 322 | 264 | 293 | 155 | 811 |
| 2026 | 478 | 322 | 262 | 298 | 157 | 834 |
| 2027 | 486 | 322 | 260 | 304 | 158 | 858 |
| 2028 | 493 | 321 | 257 | 309 | 159 | 880 |
| 2029 | 497 | 318 | 252 | 312 | 158 | 896 |
| 2030 | 503 | 316 | 249 | 316 | 159 | 917 |
| 2031 | 514 | 317 | 247 | 324 | 161 | 948 |

Methodology: https://docs.communityscale.io/docs/household-growth

### Income group details

| AMI Group | Income Range | Households | Max Monthly Costs | Max Purchase Price | Avg Bedrooms | Avg Earners | Avg HH Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <30% | <$24K | 478 | <$611 | <$99,128 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 56 |
| 30-60% | $24K - $49K | 322 | <$1,222 | <$198,255 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 58 |
| 60-80% | $49K - $65K | 262 | <$1,630 | <$264,340 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 53 |
| 80-100% | $65K - $82K | 298 | <$2,038 | <$330,425 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 53 |
| 100-120% | $82K - $98K | 157 | <$2,445 | <$396,511 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 47 |
| >120% | >$98K | 834 | >$2,445 | >$396,511 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 51 |

## How much new housing supply is needed?

To keep up with growth and fill current housing shortages, Semmes, AL needs 248 new units over the next 5 years.

| Value | Component | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| 248 | Units to address shortages in existing housing stock | Production needs to address vacancy rates and other factors. |
| 20 | — Replacement housing | Effective annual loss rate is 1.6 per 1,000 units |
| 38 | — Ownership vacancy adjustment | Owner-occupied vacancy is 0.0%, below the minimum stable target of 1.5% |
| 190 | — Rental vacancy adjustment | Rental vacancy is 0.0%, below the minimum stable target of 7.4% |
| **248** | **Total 5-year housing production need (2026-2031)** |  |
| 50 | — Annual production pace | Average units needed per year to meet 5-year need |
| 9.7% | — Total housing unit growth | Percent increase in housing stock over 5 years |
| 1.9% | — Annual housing unit growth | Average percent increase in housing stock per year |

Methodology: https://docs.communityscale.io/docs/production-target

---

**Recommended citation:** CommunityScale. (2026). *Semmes, AL — Housing Forecast*. Retrieved May 2, 2026, from https://app.communityscale.io/dashboard/municipality/0169240/Semmes-AL